Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027422 0.029405 0.031471 0.033787 0.036314 0.038992 0.042047
2025-06-29 0.023825 0.026602 0.029641 0.033226 0.037353 0.041972 0.047558
2025-07-06 0.021893 0.025206 0.028971 0.033590 0.039139 0.045631 0.053864
2025-07-13 0.020271 0.023914 0.028181 0.033586 0.040309 0.048472 0.059247
2025-07-20 0.019169 0.023093 0.027810 0.033954 0.041836 0.051726 0.065265
2025-07-27 0.018000 0.022073 0.027077 0.033756 0.042553 0.053915 0.069979
2025-08-03 0.016991 0.021167 0.026399 0.033533 0.043161 0.055929 0.074527
2025-08-10 0.016120 0.020370 0.025791 0.033331 0.043735 0.057875 0.079059
2025-08-17 0.015378 0.019689 0.025280 0.033201 0.044363 0.059889 0.083782
2025-08-24 0.014587 0.018896 0.024566 0.032733 0.044460 0.061121 0.087397
2025-08-31 0.013826 0.018100 0.023801 0.032136 0.044316 0.061961 0.090436
2025-09-07 0.013239 0.017511 0.023286 0.031855 0.044592 0.063409 0.094485
2025-09-14 0.012692 0.016958 0.022799 0.031593 0.044889 0.064916 0.098765
2025-09-21 0.012093 0.016304 0.022137 0.031036 0.044700 0.065652 0.101827
2025-09-28 0.011807 0.016080 0.022076 0.031361 0.045870 0.068571 0.108740
2025-10-05 0.011444 0.015728 0.021810 0.031356 0.046511 0.070668 0.114392
2025-10-12 0.011203 0.015541 0.021774 0.031694 0.047706 0.073730 0.121972
2025-10-19 0.010835 0.015152 0.021418 0.031511 0.048039 0.075360 0.127083
2025-10-26 0.010485 0.014774 0.021061 0.031306 0.048316 0.076900 0.132133
2025-11-02 0.010160 0.014422 0.020728 0.031120 0.048607 0.078468 0.137347
2025-11-09 0.009870 0.014112 0.020447 0.031001 0.049000 0.080229 0.143063
2025-11-16 0.009522 0.013699 0.019989 0.030570 0.048828 0.080957 0.146778
2025-11-23 0.009164 0.013260 0.019475 0.030021 0.048418 0.081220 0.149561